Blu-Ray Has 5 Years Left? I Don't Think So!

Today, I read an article on DailyTech and the article talks about how Andy Griffiths, the Samsung director of consumer electronics in UK, thinks Blu-Ray technology will be replaced by OLED HD. For those who aren't familiar with OLED, it stands for organic light emitting diode. One major benefit of OLED over traditional LED that we use in HD TVs today is it consumes less power because it does not require a back light to display images. And one less component means thinner TVs.

Back to the topic: Like the people who commented said, they are two different things. Blu-Ray is a storage medium where as OLED HD is a display technology. The missing link between the two is what will replace Blu-Ray as a new storage medium to be displayed by OLED HD.

Aside from that, I personally think Blu-Ray will last for more than 5 years. I mean it has just started to take off this year, Griffiths also said 2008 will be the prim year for Blu-Ray . What? I think it has just started to become popular after the HD war ended not too long ago and now its prime year when we are stepping into the last quarter of this year? I'm sorry but I can't convince myself to believe that.

Besides Blu-Ray , HD TVs have also started to become more popular. HD TVs with 40" and even up to 50" models are relatively much cheaper than a few years ago therefore allowing more people to enjoy TV channels and movies in HD. OLED HD certainly has a bright future and I don't doubt that one day it will replace the HD we have right now. But I don't think it will be as widely available (price wise) as the HD technology right now.

Even the small 14" from Sony cost almost a leg and an arm (again relatively speaking) to purchase and supply is limited. And why would I want a 14" OLED HD TV? I bet most of us average consumers cannot differentiate the quality between a 14" OLED HD TV and a 50" HD TV with 1080p output. And why on earth would you watch say, Transformers on such a small TV? And even if OLED HD was ready for the general public in 5 years, would the cable providers be ready for providing subscribers OLED HD channels? How much would the monthly TV bill is going to be?

Just my daily rant.