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Gallup Poll Reflects Obama with 11-Point Lead Over McCain

Mudstorm on the Rise

By saul relative, published Oct 10, 2008
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No doubt the recent trend of favorability leaning Senator Barack Obama's way has to be a little more than disconcerting to Senator McCain. In fact, the just released Gallup Poll has to be even more worrisome to the McCain campaign because it was primarily polled up until the second presidential debate (and some participants were polled afterward to get their sample). According to the Gallup Poll, Senator Obama enjoys an eleven percentage point lead of Senator McCain (52% - 41%).

And then Senator McCain, according to nearly all credible sources, lost the debate in Nashville on October 7. How that will affect poll numbers has not yet been determined.

But up until the debate, every major national poll had Senator Obama leading by at least three points. According to Real Clear Politics, Rasmussen tracking had Senator Obama at a five-point advantage (50% - 40%). An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll put Senator Obama 6 points ahead, 47% to 41%.

Just a month ago, in the first two weeks of September, right after the Republican National Convention, Senator McCain looked as if he was about to break through the slight lead Senator Obama had been maintaining up until that point in most polls. Of sixteen separate polls taken from September 2 to September 16, Senator McCain either had taken the lead or tied Senator Obama in eleven. Even the Gallup Poll gave Senator McCain a five-point lead. However, within the next two weeks, events began to conspire against Senator McCain.

What Happened To The Close Race?

 
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Gallup Poll Reflects Obama with 11-Point Lead Over McCain

Are They Beginning To Run Away With It? : Recent Gallup Poll resutts show the Obama-Biden ticket leading the McCain-Palin ticket by 11 points, prompting many to believe that Senator McCain's only recourse now is to increase the already begun mudslinging.

Credit: Ragesoss; Riverbissonette

Copyright: Wikimedia Commons

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Points taken, PleaseChange. It is a fact of Election Life that fraud and discrepancies in voting procedures have happened and will happen. Too many dishonest people being driven be emotion and position, rather than fairness. From the Republicans and thier purges and suppressions to the Democratic affiliations with a tarnished ACORN (not to mention those damned electronic voting machines and the problems they're having with them in various states), on November 5, no matter who wins, the other is going to cry "foul."

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Posted on 10/12/2008 at 12:10:04 PM

 
Also, I think it's fair to point out that the media discussions about ACORN are missing the point. ACORN has registered 1.3M voters during this election. It's been brought up by ACORN officials that they must by law submit all registrations regardless of how phony they might appear. ACORN has also suggested that it's their policy to flag these types of registrations. I haven't heard any of the media question election officials about whether ACORN has, in fact, done this. In addtition, ACORN has also pointed out that they have been sending registration form in bulk on a regular basis and did not send them in one swoop. I haven't heard any questions to election officials in these states as to whether this is true of not. Not a peep. Therefore, Americans watching and listening to these stories are left with spin and seeds of doubt. Confusion, doubt now. On election day, one can only hope that all of this doubt without real facts doesn't become yet another election stolen from its rightfu

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Posted on 10/12/2008 at 8:10:04 AM

 
Yes, McCain did make an attempt at civility. Too little, too late. If Americans could have gotten a more consistent vision of pre-2000 election McCain, he might have stood a chance. He might still if the RNC managed to remove thousands of valid (not micky mouse) voters from registration lists. This has been a very success tactic for them in the past (Ohio, 2004, not enough ballots?) Even more so, if he had been able to pick his own VP regardless of party affiliation, that would have shown Americans (at least those who have supported him the past) that was still the guy who bucked his party as a man with his own ideas. Instead, he let his party choose his running mate and make critical decisions about the direction of his volatile, angry campaign. If he can't rein in his party, how can he bring unity to our troubled world?

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Posted on 10/12/2008 at 8:10:14 AM

 
I personally do not think either candidate is worthy or qualified to be the next President ... out of all the candidates who initially tossed their hat in the ring for the nomination it is beyond me how we ended up with Obama and McCain. I agree with Donna Porter's comment "people would vote for a green, one-eyed alien with a real plan about now" ... if only we could find such an alien!

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 8:10:50 PM

 
Excellent analysis, Fred. Clearly stated; factual; straight to the point. You should write for this site. You can sign up for for free: please use my referral link: http://www.associatedcontent.com/join.html?refer=133651

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 5:10:49 PM

 
Well said, Fred. What people need in this country are a couple political science classes so that words like socialism does not scare the hell out ot them. It may be a reason for concern and one does not have to agree with socialist programs and policies, but the U.S. has had socialist policies for a hundred years. All your western democracies do. Words like fascist, tyrant, dictator, oligarchy, and authoritarian should scare the hell out of everyone -- all of which have been exemplified by the current Bush administration in the past nearly eight years. Still, our government is too far removed from true socialism. Besides, look at the reaction people have just to the term "socialism." There will be no socialism in the U.S. without representative democracy.

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 1:10:35 PM

 
I was going to say something else, but Mary Catherine's socialism comment took me in a different direction. While pondering why so many people don't seem to be bothered by the things we've learned about Obama's societal views and affiliations, it finally started to make sense - a large number of Obama supporters believe socialism is a good thing. They've been waiting for someone with Obama's views to come along and help them usher in the "perfect" society. It comes down to a fundamental difference in world view. The problem is the average voter doesn't know or understand the difference, nor will they take the time to find out. The idea of socialism is a Utopian dream of harmonic bliss, but history has proven time and time again that it never works. Sorry to get off track...this is a well written piece Saul. I agree McCain has been off his game lately.

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 11:10:58 AM

 
Saul - Excellent points! I have to say that watching McCain on television last night, listening to him defend Obama even as angry voters in his own party booed him for that....was a surreal moment. McCain clearly revealed his ambivalence and could not condone some of the statements made about Obama, even as people practically begged him to support their anger and fear. For those who doubt me, you can easily find the video where McCain calls Obama a decent man and tells voters they do not have to fear him as President. Do you still think people won't vote for him? Maybe I'm naive but I think people will vote for Obama. However, I believe voter fraud is real - and found evidence of other things that could affect this election (in my state, for sure). I'm going to write about it.

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 9:10:26 AM

 
I echo your comments Justice. McCain doesn't look like he wants it. That saying "not to be afraid of an Obama presidency" clearly demonstrates that McCain has no clue as to the hearts of his supporters. The more fired up the peeps became, it looked like if McCain got fired up equally we would have built up the needed tailwind to win, but McCain basically tossed in the towel. Congrats to the Lefties. Looks like you win.

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 9:10:17 AM

 
I honestly think Obama's going to win. McCain acts like he just doesn't want it anymore. Seriously, all the hardball questions he could have hit him with, and he just comes of like a doddering old man in the last debate. As usual, you have written a great article, well-researched, easy to read and understand. Good job!

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 5:10:05 AM

 
Great, informative article. Thanks!

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 2:10:31 AM

 
I think Obama's lead is going to get a lot wider in the wake of the latest news from the witch of wasilla. all along I knew that there was something with her that wasn't quite rightand this just is more fact to validate my hunch.

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Posted on 10/11/2008 at 12:10:14 AM

 
As for race...I think it's far less a factor than some liberals make out and more than the far right might think...and I think with the conditions of the economy, it will be even less of an issue -- people would vote for a green, one-eyed alien with a real plan about now.

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Posted on 10/10/2008 at 11:10:47 PM

 
Michael sums up the bulk of my thoughts...I think you nailed a lot of points though that I agree with (amazing!) :-)

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Posted on 10/10/2008 at 11:10:06 PM

 
Wonderful work that deserved to be "Front Page Material"! Enjoyed it!

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Posted on 10/10/2008 at 11:10:50 PM

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