Baltic Dry Index Falls 93%

Are We Heading into a Global Recession or Possibly a Worldwide Depression?

The Baltic Dry Index which is a direct indicator of the health of vital worldwide shipping and supply activity as well as the potential health of the global economy has recently slipped more than 93%. Its value has gone from over 11,000 to less than 800 with little
Baltic Dry Index Falls 93%
 except for a floor of zero to suggest the slide will stop in the near future. This means that worldwide, the demand for cargo ships and more importantly raw materials that go into producing the everyday items that consumers buy has come to a near standstill. This is an indicator of a massive worldwide slump and likely foreshadows more economic woes for not only the US, but also the entire globe.

To understand the Baltic Dry index one has to approach this economic telltale from multiple angles. Basically, the index is set where the supply of raw materials meets the demand for ships to be booked to carry those materials from country to country or continent to continent. The index is broken down into different segments that take into account the size of the ship and the type of the cargo that is being shipped. It can be observed at the Investment Tools website at http://www.investmenttools.com/futures/bdi_baltic_dry_index.htm

Generally, when the BDI is charting a gain, stocks will likely close up and countries' whose currency are good market indicators of worldwide exchange, like the value of the Canadian and Australian Dollars are on their way up as well. When the BDI is performing badly, generally the US and worldwide stock markets are likely to also perform badly in the near future and the currencies of the countries previously mentioned, who are heavily affected by the foreign goods and raw materials exchange will also likely soon show losses. This is because the BDI shows exactly where the worldwide demand for raw goods and materials rests at any given period. When these raw goods and materials are not being moved around, production of almost everything imaginable slows due to the tightening supply of worldwide goods.

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At the time of financial crises we need to come together united and try to solve the problems which are responsible for such a hazard. We need to overcome it. It is meant to bring calm to the population and markets and display government strength and stability. As a large number of people spend their money in movies, making films, sports, nowadays even on internet many sites offer to and in our country there are many gambling site where many people lose a large sum of money there in such stuffs which should be minimized as the world is going through a phase where a little wastage of money could be matter of remorse.

Posted on 02/03/2009 at 12:02:53 AM

"The BDI's relationship to the global recession is somewhat complicated by the fact that even before things went so terribly wrong with the economy, it was widely expected that there would be an oversupply of ships beginning as early as 2009 as many newbuilds came online." They built 9 ships for every one that previously existed?

Posted on 12/04/2008 at 8:12:12 PM

Cool article but a 93 percent drop is more reflective of a giant fear factor and a collapsed credit market than it is of productive potential. Or something like that :).

Posted on 12/03/2008 at 9:12:02 AM

This is the type of stuff that I like.

Posted on 12/02/2008 at 7:12:27 PM

Great article. The BDI's relationship to the global recession is somewhat complicated by the fact that even before things went so terribly wrong with the economy, it was widely expected that there would be an oversupply of ships beginning as early as 2009 as many newbuilds came online.

Posted on 12/02/2008 at 5:12:31 AM

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