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The Real Lottery Winners: A Number of Myths About the MegaMillions and Powerball Lotteries

By Will Wright, published Mar 23, 2007
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Lotteries are one of the largest industries in America. The little slips of paper they sell generate an estimated $45 billion annually. In comparison, Microsoft had gross sales of just over $44 billion in 2006. With about half of all American adults playing various state-run lotteries across the nation, it's easy to see that there are big bucks in those little numbers. But behind every smiling face and billboard-sized check lie a number of myths and misperceptions about the lottery.

Myth 1: The more people play, the lower your odds in winning.
This is false. The odds in winning are fixed. Your odds in winning the MegaMillions Lottery jackpot are 1 in 135,145,920. The odds for winning the Powerball Lottery jackpot are 1 in 120, 526,770. While the odds are fixed, the more people who play a lottery does decrease your chances in become the sole winner of a lottery jackpot.

Myth 2: Buying two lottery tickets doubles your chances of winning.
Once again, this is false. If you buy one lottery ticket in the Powerball lottery, your chance of winning is 1 in 120,526,770. If you buy two tickets, your odds are 2 in 120,526,770. You have not doubled your chance at winning the lottery; you've just decreased the odds against you by an infinitesimal amount.

Myth 3: Lotteries are a great way to help education.
Tying lotteries into education was one of the greatest masterstrokes of marketing in history. In terms of return on investment, buying lottery tickets is an abysmal way to raise money for schools. Consider the case of the New Mexico educational lottery. Out of the 89.2 million dollars raised by the New Mexico lottery, less than half ($40.8 million) went to education.

If you're spending a buck on a lottery ticket with the thought of benefiting education, you're better off just giving 50 cents to your local school. It costs half as much as the lottery ticket, and the school gets more money.

The Real Lottery Winners: A Number of Myths About the MegaMillions and Powerball Lotteries

"Never tell me the odds." -- Han Solo

Credit: will

Copyright: atom smasher

Takeaways
  • About half of all American adults play the lottery.
  • The average lottery player spends 150 dollars a year buying lottery tickets.
  • Lotteries sell hope.
Did You Know?
As of 2003, only one mega-jackpot winner lottery winner has taken yearly payments. All other winners have taken the lump sum.
Comments
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Kevin's marginal/diminishing returns on buying multiple tickets are misleading. If you buy two tickets, your probability of winning is 2x that of buying one. Buy three and your probability is 3x. Buy 10 and probability is 10x. I don't think anyone was claiming that buying each incremental ticket doubles your odds. In other words, it's linear, not exponential. In all practicality, your chances of winning are extremely slim in any case. Also, the presentation of Myth #3 is a bit of a sham. In the New Mexico lottery, 46% of the ticket sales went to the schools. Even though that is not a large portion (in %), we're still talking about $40M that went to the schools that would have otherwise not. Do you think that collecting donations in a charity drive that goes 100% to the schools would come up with $40M? Do you go out of your way to kick in $5 or $20 either regularly or once in a blue moon and give it to your local school district? I don't know anyone that does. What's the

Posted on 11/28/2008 at 5:11:39 PM

 
Please note: the source material I used for this article was in error on myth 2 (and my trusty solar-powered calculator didn't have enough decimal places to verify), so I went with the source. Unfortunately I have no way to edit the article once published. Thanks, once again, to all for the clarifications!

Posted on 08/25/2008 at 6:08:08 AM

 
I have a problem with Myth 2; 2/120 526 770 = 1/60 263 385, just like 2/100 = 1/50. Simple maths, you have doubled your chances. Admittedly, the chance of you winning a jackpot will be pretty much the same weather you buy 100, 2,1 or no ticket

Posted on 05/14/2008 at 5:05:27 AM

 
I think this whole subject is facinating...the good and bad of it. The bad of it...the people that lose everything in a few years? Well I think if your stupid with no money you'll be stupid with money. I live pretty comfortably now and I only work part-time. I have a modest house and a new car. I have a super high credit score that I'm very proud of. A few bucks in the bank and I don't live pay check to pay check. I just DON"T over extend myself like most do. Also I IKnow if I won the lottery i CAN say NO to people. That's my winnings and I have to make it last the rest of my life. NOT everyone around me. Don't get me wrong I have a list of people I would give to but it would most likely be a one time deal. I'm not going to be made out to be an ATM machine. And I won't be made to feel guilty about saying NO. And hey I can soooo not answer a ringing phone...I DO IT NOW. And most people probably wouldn't even know where I lived in this case. I would really do radom acts of kindness. Like

Posted on 03/20/2008 at 3:03:42 AM

 
I think this whole subject is facinating...the good and bad of it. The bad of it...the people that lose everything in a few years? Well I think if your stupid with no money you'll be stupid with money. I live pretty comfortably life now and I only work part-time. I have a modest house and a new car. I have a super high credit score that I'm very proud of. A few bucks in the bank and I don't live pay check to pay check. I just DON"T over extend myself like most do. Also I IKnow if I won the lottery i CAN say NO to people. That's my winnings and I have to make it last the rest of my life. NOT everyone around me. Don't get me wrong I have a list of people I would give to but it would most likely be a one time deal. I'm not going to be made out to be an ATM machine. And I won't be made to feel guilty about saying NO. And hey I can soooo not answer a ringing phone...I DO IT NOW. And most people probably wouldn't even know where I lived in this case. I would really do radom acts of kindness.

Posted on 03/20/2008 at 3:03:42 AM

 
i don't now about the odds but i would love to win

Posted on 03/06/2008 at 6:03:20 PM

 
I just want to win win win baby

Posted on 12/11/2007 at 3:12:56 PM

 
Today it seems that just seems someone wins but well they don't. I believe that the lottery is just one humungous scam in itself. but some times in that one in a million chances there is one person that might win and even then theres that slim chance

Posted on 08/31/2007 at 9:08:00 AM

 
Thanks Kevin, for the updated odds. The source material I used for this article was in error on myth 2 (and my trusty solar-powered calculator didn't have enough decimal places to verify), so I went with the source. Unfortunately I have no way to edit the article once published. Thanks, once again, to all for the clarifications!

Posted on 08/22/2007 at 12:08:00 PM

 
Your odds of winning are out of date. According to the respective multi-state lottery sites, MegaMillions is about 1 in 175 Million, and Powerball is 1 in 146 million. Your Myth 2 is wrong. It is true that your second ticket doubles your odds. YOur third, however, only increases by 50% and your 4th by only 33%...and so on, so that each ticket bought offers diminishing returns.

Posted on 08/17/2007 at 7:08:00 PM

 
About Myth 2: You buy two tickets with different numbers on them, (not the same one twice). That should double your chance of winning.

Posted on 06/23/2007 at 7:06:00 PM

 
The lump sum vs payment issue is relevant for the winner. Look at what happens when he dies. The IRS requires payment of estate taxes based on the total estate. All the payments are included as part of his estate thus the inheritors usually don't have enough money to pay off the total estate tax. For example 18 years of payments remain but estate tax is due now on the total present value. In one case the IRS settled for all the remaining payments and an additional 800 dollars per year to cover the estate tax and late penalties. Imagine inheriting an estate from your relative and end up getting nothing but a tax bill. If the winner had taken the lump sum his inheritors would have had enough to pay the estate tax (much smaller) and have money left to spend.

Posted on 06/09/2007 at 11:06:00 PM

 
Guess I'll stop buying tickets because I don't support public education.

Posted on 04/24/2007 at 6:04:00 AM

 
This article was very interesting and informative to read. I'm not going to comment at this time but rather look deeper into the myths that were given by the author. I feel a GREAT article especially one that is to inform the public about something should compel the reader to find or draw your own conclusions or answers for yourself. Then speak up and speak out!!!!

Posted on 04/11/2007 at 1:04:00 PM

 
Great article. I found it very well written.

Posted on 04/11/2007 at 10:04:00 AM

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