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Climate Change Throughout Modern Times

Why Global Warming, Global Cooling, and Climate Change Are Described by the Same Theories

By Jamie K. Wilson, published Apr 07, 2007
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I admit it; I'm a global warming skeptic (rotten tomatoes can be thrown at the end of the article, thank you!) It's not that I find the arguments for current global warming unpersuasive; it's that I have a problem with the stifling of debate debunking global warming that seems to be growing more widespread.

At any rate, if global warming exists, how do we know that it's caused by human carbon dioxide production? When we didn't have human pollution dumped into the atmosphere, there were still very significant variations in our climate. At one point, dinosaurs roamed the earth. At others, vast sheets of ice drained the ocean and covered our most fertile lands. Even looking at just the last thousand or so years, when we have reasonably good records, we see that the current global climate is neither as hot nor as volatile as at other periods.

Global Cooling: The Cause Du Jour of the Seventies

In 1972, a startling new study came forward. Using some of the first accurate global temperature readings from weather balloons and satellites, the National Science Board stated that the Earth's mean temperature was dropping quickly and alarmingly. Could this be the start of a new ice age? Time magazine (and other prominent magazines) thought so; they published a cover article titled "The Cooling World" on April 28, 1975.

This remained cause for alarm for several years, until about 1979, when the World Meteorological Organization stated that the cooling trend had actually stopped about the time meteorologists had first become aware of it in 1970. This fear was replaced by the fear of nuclear winter, possibly because nuclear winter was not terribly far from the global cooling theories.

At last, sometime in the mid-1990s the idea of global warming as climate change became the primary worry of many climateologists.

Historic Temperature Changes

If you read through history, you'll find a number of interesting blips. These data are accepted, although truly accurate methods for measuring global temperature vary. The two most significant recent changes are the Little Ice Age and the Medieval Warm Period.

Climate Change Throughout Modern Times
Climate Change Throughout Modern Times

Setting sun off West Shore Oahu -- Sun cycles may have more to do with global temperature variations than human impact.

Credit: Clark Wilson

Copyright: Clark & Jamie Wilson

Takeaways
  • Global warming is a relatively new theory, following the theory of global cooling.
  • Greenland's name attests that it was much warmer at one time.
  • Scientists can build entire careers on the strength of a single theory.
Did You Know?
A Stradivarius violin may owe its tonal purity to the denser wood that grew at the time Antonio Stradivari made them, during the coldest part of the Little Ice Age.
Comments
Showing Comments 1 - 15 of 15
 
 
Climate change is a natural phenomena: http://www.brightcove.tv/title.jsp?title=881376822

Posted on 08/22/2008 at 4:08:42 PM

 
Global warming is pretty much agreed to by most if not all, but The Politically Incorrect guide to Global Warming and Environmentalism makes a good case for the idea that so-called "consensus" is actively suppressing dissent and, further, that many of those scientists who agree to the man-caused global warming hypothesis are qualified to discuss its impact, but not its cause. In short, their opinion is as good or bad as anyone else's.

Posted on 07/09/2007 at 5:07:00 PM

 
Very good, interesting piece.

Posted on 04/10/2007 at 6:04:00 AM

 
Also, if anyone is left who is a scientist, he or she knows that you cannot prove a theory. You can only test it. The lack of toleration of dissent among scientists is a very troubling trend in this field. Four hundred years ago, dung was agreed to cure a variety of ills, and inoculation was considered insane. Consensus is often incorrect, particularly when it quashes dissent.

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 11:04:00 PM

 
Yes -- but the Wiki has been taken over by people who aren't tolerating dissent. Read the talk pages behind all the climate change/global warming pages. You'll see dissent -- if you can dig through their dense and jargon-riddled rhetoric.

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 11:04:00 PM

 
I don't think this "debate" among scientists really exists. From everything I've seen, read, and heard, there's a pretty overwhelming consensus among scientific organizations that humans have undoubtedly caused global warming. http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/306/5702/1686 The only notable scientific organization that doubts whether humans have caused global warming is the American Association of Petroleum Geoligists. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 11:04:00 PM

 
Oh, and Jeff -- welcome. I'm glad to have you here.

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 6:04:00 PM

 
Jeff, I never mentioned nuclear winter; I completely accept the plausibility of that. But the fact that we just don't know which theory is right is the problem. We were probably wrong in the 70s; why are global warming scientists so certain they are right today? Science is taking a dive here; I was always taught NO THEORY IS EVER FACT, and ALL IDEAS ARE THEORY. So why are they calling this fact?

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 6:04:00 PM

 
Not to point out the obvious but there were some indications in the 70s that the earth was cooling...here is a thought- perhaps that natural trend has been overtaken by warming, which not only slowed the minor cooling but ran rampantly past it? And nuclear winter wasn't a "fear" or theory, it is what would happen if the nuclear weapons on the planet were detonated...this kind of pretend science is fooling some of those not paying attention..the good thing is, more people are starting to pay attention..

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 6:04:00 PM

 
Interesting article. I'm in Salt Lake City temporarily and this is a big topic for discussion here. The snow on the mountains is the lowest it's been in history, and it supplies the water for the region. Then, there are businesses threatened who offer recreation for winter sports enthusiasts. These local concerns are considered priority, as are climate threats around the world. I agree with you: if we believe - then let's do something. Those who don't believe may still have to figure out where to get their drinking water.

Posted on 04/09/2007 at 3:04:00 PM

 
Great article.

Posted on 04/08/2007 at 3:04:00 PM

 
Well written and interesting.

Posted on 04/07/2007 at 9:04:00 PM

 
I'm frankly confused about the truth about global warming. It's hard to know who's right when you have two polarized camps saying very different things in the media. Your excellent article definitely gave me food for thought. I think you've decreased my level of Eco-Anxiety! Thanks for linking to my article.

Posted on 04/07/2007 at 5:04:00 PM

 
Inconvenient Truth minimizes the level of disagreement; there's quite a lot of dissent about global warming and the human contribution. For a little of it firsthand, you can go out and read the Talk page at Wikipedia behind the Global Warming and Global Climate Change pages, which is frequented by environmental scientists of various stripes. (It is weird to listen to scientists hotly argue in technobabble what's really going on. But fascinating.)

Posted on 04/07/2007 at 3:04:00 PM

 
I like your practical approach. Have you seen An Inconvenient Truth? It makes a pretty compelling case and also points out that scientists are not in disagreement about the existence of global warming or the human contribution to it.

Posted on 04/07/2007 at 3:04:00 PM

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