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Why You Shouldn't Bet on Baseball

Don't Get Sucked in

By Jetlag Democracy, published Apr 20, 2006
Published Content: 449  Total Views: 884,012  Favorited By: 24 CPs
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Sports betting hit it's second biggest peak of the year (the first being the entirety of the football season) with the Final 4 and Major League Baseball's opening, coinciding on the same weekend- as they always do. Most sports fans think it's the best viewing day of the year, and I'm sure bookies and online gambling moguls would agree with them. With the unpredicatble nature of this year's NCAA basketball tournament, oddsmakers around the globe all lined their pockets as favorites went down right and left in one of the strangest Mad March's in history. Only one team in the Final 4 was ranked in the preseason top 25 (UCLA at #19) and don't get me started about George Mason, who before losing to the eventual champs Florida, knocked off UNC, Michigan St. and UCONN. But the real reason bookies were licking their lips, was because of MLB's opening day, as gamblers around the country got ready to start throwing their money down the drain.

Here are the reasons why THEY love when you bet on baseball - and why YOU should never do it...

1. YOU CAN'T WIN. Are you great at calling heads or tails when somebody flips a coin? Do you always beat your friend at rock, paper, scissors? Then maybe you should bet on baseball. Otherwise, just don't do it. There is not a more unpredictable sport than Major League Baseball. And I know what your're thinking...all sports are unpredictable, why is baseball any different? That's true to a certain extent, but let me tell you why baseball is impossible to handicap...

Why You Shouldn't Bet on Baseball

Here are the reasons why THEY love when you bet on baseball - and why YOU should never do it...

Comments
Comments 1 - 7 of 7
 
 
But enough talk...prove me wrong, pick a day when there is a full slate of MLB games and post who you think is going to win...I'll look at the odds and we'll pretend you put $20 on each game...if you turn a profit, you're right...if you don't, you're wrong

Posted on 07/31/2006 at 9:07:00 PM

 
you won't get in trouble for typing fuck buddy, relax...as for a response to these comments...I got nothing. I bet on Geoff Ogilvy to win the US Open with 60-1 odds, so I'm pretty much awesome...and always right...Oh yeah, the Yankees were on a 5 game winning streak recently when they matched up against the fearsome Devil Rays...the pitching match up was Randy Johnson vs. Jay Seo (an ERA near 6, could not buy a win this season). Rays won 19-5.

Posted on 07/31/2006 at 9:07:00 PM

 
There are simple systems for betting on teams over the course of a series of games. To say it's mrerely a coin flip overlooks some basic statistical anomolies characteristic of many sports, inlcuding bsaeball. OIne such example, betting on streaks. A team that is on a 3 game winning or losing streak is almost perfectly likely to continue that streak for at least one more game. There are many more examples. Sounds like the author lost one too many bets.

Posted on 07/31/2006 at 7:07:00 PM

 
Their are simple systems for betting on teams over the course of a series of games. To say it's mrerely a coin flip overlooks some basic statistical anomolies characteristic of many sports, inlcuding bsaeball. OIne such example, betting on streaks. A team that is on a 3 game winning or losing streak is almost perfectly likely to continue that streak for at least one more game. There are many more examples. Sounds like the author lost one too many bets.

Posted on 07/31/2006 at 7:07:00 PM

 
Yes, he is absolutely wrong. This guy have never heard of betting systems. A big mistake I think! There are only 2 possible outcomes in baseball - and this is the best thing. When you use such a system, who gives a f**k about the sport itself?! You simply win. In the long term of course. So look for the favourites and bet.

Posted on 05/22/2006 at 7:05:00 AM

 
No I'm not

Posted on 04/20/2006 at 10:04:00 PM

 
You're wrong. If you bet on sports then you know about sports and you know that often no name pitchers perform quite well. Why? Because ther is no scouting report on this palyer and not many of the players have ever even seen him. You have heard that when the season starts, pitchers are ahead of hitters right? Well that applies here. But I bet that if a pitcher makes even 10 starts you will see a pattern develop. And a good better, one that does proper research will figure out these things. It may not be something that the average person can pick up on, but trust it's there. Oh and one more thing. The single msot important factor when considering a bet on baseball is starting pitching.

Posted on 04/20/2006 at 1:04:00 PM

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