Poll: Why Hillary Clinton Will Be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
2007 national presidential polling by Gallup has all signs pointing towards Hillary Clinton winning the 2008 Democratic nomination. Earlier this year, Barack Obama came within two points of Clinton's lead, but
in recent months he has lost significant momentum and is currently in the worst position to win the nomination that he has been in this year. In addition to not being particularly threatened by any current or possible Democratic candidate, there are many key indicators Clinton will receive the Democratic nomination in 2008.
Clinton has led the Democratic candidates in every Gallup Poll conducted between November of 2006 and October of 2007. During this same time period, Clinton has led Obama by a double-digit margin, and her lead in Gallup's latest poll, conducted October 12-14, is at 50 percent versus Obama's 21 percent. History shows a lead of even 20 points is large for a Democratic nomination race, and the previous two candidates who had such a lead at this time before their election years (Al Gore in 1999 and Walter Mondale in 1983) eventually, each became the Democratic nominee.
Another plus for Clinton is that two-thirds of Democrats who currently prefer her for the party nomination say they will certainly vote for her in the primaries, a higher percentage than any other Democratic candidate is receiving from their supporters. Also, Clinton holds leads with many and varied subgroups of Democratic voters, including women, nonwhites, those in lower-income households, those with less formal education, and Southerners.
Poll: Why Hillary Clinton Will Be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
Clinton has led the Democratic candidates in every Gallup Poll conducted between November of 2006 and October of 2007. During this same time period, Clinton has led Obama by a double-digit margin, and her lead in Gallup's latest poll, conducted October 12-14, is at 50 percent versus Obama's 21 percent. History shows a lead of even 20 points is large for a Democratic nomination race, and the previous two candidates who had such a lead at this time before their election years (Al Gore in 1999 and Walter Mondale in 1983) eventually, each became the Democratic nominee.
Another plus for Clinton is that two-thirds of Democrats who currently prefer her for the party nomination say they will certainly vote for her in the primaries, a higher percentage than any other Democratic candidate is receiving from their supporters. Also, Clinton holds leads with many and varied subgroups of Democratic voters, including women, nonwhites, those in lower-income households, those with less formal education, and Southerners.
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