Oscar Winner Predictions for the 2008 Academy Awards

Have a bet with a friend or family member and you really want to embarrass them? Want to teach that Ebert guy a lesson with his little "contest"? Want to be addressed by the title "Movie God" for the next 12 months? Yes, yes, and yes you say? Then read on, my friend, and discover the best
 bets for the 80th annual Academy Awards.

1) Best Picture

The nominees are:

Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Although you might hear rumblings about Juno (similar to Little Miss Sunshine the prior year) as a dark horse, it has no chance for the prize. Its presense in the top 5 is prize enough. Atonement is good, but just another stuffy British romance film. Michael Clayton is an intelligent film with a popular star (Clooney), but is not Best Picture worthy. That leaves No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood. I give the nod to NCFOM since it had a larger release and bigger buzz than TWBB in December. The story is spellbinding, and Oscar loves the Coen brothers.

Winner: No Country for Old Men

2) Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Ethan Coen & Joel Coen - No Country For Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman - Juno
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

As above, I believe this is a two-way race between Anderson and the Coens. Although I stated that Oscar loves the Coen brothers, you could flip a coin to decide this award. Voters may lean toward Anderson since the Coens already won for Fargo. Also, Anderson's Boogie Nights and Magnolia were previously overlooked (but regarded as masterpieces). This is painful to choose, but I will take Anderson.

Winner: PT Anderson

3) Best Actor

George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises

I regard this as a two-way race between Day-Lewis and Depp, with Lewis having a 100 step head start. Depp will get his someday soon, but nothing will stop Day-Lewis from claiming his prize for an uncompromising, brutal protrayal.

Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis

4) Best Actress

 
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Neat predictions.

Posted on 03/12/2008 at 4:03:01 PM

Hey Lou, awesome call on Marion Cotillard!

Posted on 02/25/2008 at 7:02:47 PM

I think Depp will win Best Actor. Day-Lewis already has one on his mantel, and Depp will be rewarded for this movies over the past decade as much as for this role.

Posted on 02/23/2008 at 12:02:44 AM

In dismissing Marion Cotillard because of an "art house film" .........are you forgetting Sophia Loren winning for Two Women ......VERY few people saw that movie at Oscar time .........Cotillard's performance is in another stratosphere when compared to that of Julie Christie's....If Miss Christie wins, it will be more of a 'gift' to her from the Academy rather than for her acting ability in that movie. Marion Cottilard's portrayal of Edith Piaf was the most stunning performance I've viewed in the last 10 years, and even beyond that. Hers is the ONLY performance that is Oscar-worthy for best actress. I so regret that most Oscars are given because the winners are favorites, or they're deserving for some reason or another ............etc.

Posted on 02/18/2008 at 1:02:02 AM

I think the Coens will win for directing and Cate Blanchett or, possibly, Ruby Dee for Supp. Actress over Amy Ryan. Glad the WGA strike is over so the Oscars will be big ! Thanks for the article.

Posted on 02/15/2008 at 3:02:43 AM

The Coen Brothers didn't win Best Director for Fargo (actually just Joel was nominated), they won best screenplay together.

Posted on 02/15/2008 at 3:02:33 AM

Some excellent choices here! It'll be interesting to see how it plays out and I hope the Writers Strike ends soon. Nicely written!

Posted on 02/05/2008 at 11:02:30 PM

I agree with ALMOST everything you said (tho I do think that Afflec may get the win, just because the acedemy is surprsing) and I would out mad money that JUNO wins best screen play

Posted on 02/02/2008 at 6:02:57 PM

Comments 1 - 8 of 8