Super Tuesday Predictions

Super Tuesday Predictions - Super Tuesday is fast approaching. So what does this day, being called "Super Duper Tuesday" this year for its major importance, have in store for us? Will Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama be the democratic front-runner and will John McCain, Mike Huckabee or Mitt Romney be in front on the republican side?

This year, Super Tuesday holds more importance than it ever has and that is because of the shear number of states that have moved their primaries up to February 5^th, 2008. One year ago at about this time, February 2008, only eight states had scheduled their primaries for this day. Those states were Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Missouri, New Mexico Democrats, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah and West Virginia Republicans.

Since then, 16 other states have chosen to have their primaries on this date making it a grand total of 24 states that will be having their primaries on February 5^th. The states that have moved their primaries to this day are, Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho Democrats, Illinois, Kansas Democrats, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana Republicans, New Jersey, New York and Tennessee. This is the largest number of states to have their primaries on a single day in history.

With all of these states having primary contests, what impact will there be on Super Duper Tuesday?

Republicans

Mitt Romney should do well in the western part of the country. He has polled their well and he has already won two contests in this region, Nevada and Wyoming. Huckabee should do well in the bible belt because of his appeal as a former pastor and John McCain will probably do well in metropolitan areas. The last of the major republican candidates in Rudy Guiliani, and he will probably struggle on this day, but should do fairly well in the northeastern part of the country. I see the states falling this way.

Montana, Colorado, Alaska and Utah will go to Mitt Romney pretty easily. He is popular in this area and has polled well. He will obviously win Utah handily because of his mormon faith, which makes up the majority of the state.