The Democrats on Super Tuesday, 2008: A State-by-State Analysis

The Democratic side of the 2008 presidential race has already boiled down to the two heavy hitters in America's "politics of change." Even though everyone looks at Super Tuesday as the clinch pin for who will take the Democratic nomination at the convention, there are too many close calls in the race for this to be the case. Here are my predictions for how the day will go for the Democrats (showing how many delegates are up for grabs).

Alabama (60) is a statistical dead heat from the poll perspective. But I call this one for Obama by a good 3 or 4 %.

Alaska (18) shows Clinton ahead by a good 9%, but recent shifts in that state's voters may indicate a much closer race. I still call it for Clinton, but by a slim margin; by no means a mandate.

Arizona (67) will not even be close. This one goes to Clinton by a large margin.

Arkansas (47) is a strange one, politically, for the Democrats. It would appear to be a slam dunk for Clinton, but Obama would also have claims for a strong showing with the young Democrats of this state. But, in the end, I would have to say Clinton on this one.

California (441) polls have Clinton ahead by a large margin. But I don't think these numbers depict an accurate view of how Californians will be casting their ballots come Tuesday. With Edwards out of the running, Obama is sure to pick up a number of these voters. I think Obama and Clinton will have to share this state's large number of delegates.

Colorado (71) is a quandary, indeed. Most will call it for Clinton. But I say Obama carries this one.

Connecticut (60) is one of those states where Clinton and Obama are going to be a tough call for the network types to make. It will go back and forth. Most will say Clinton will win this one, but I am going out on a limb and say that Obama will win here. It may be so close, however, that some in the Clinton camp will call for a recount.

Delaware (23) is such a liberal state for the Democrats, one would have to go with Clinton to win this one big. I would have to agree.

Georgia (103) should be firmly in the Obama camp. Clinton will make a fair showing, though.

Idaho (23) will be a huge win for Obama come Tuesday.