The Obama Strategy

The Obama strategy in this race for the White House is to win as many small red states as possible, and hope that having a slight lead in pledged delegates will be a strong enough argument for the super delegates to hand the nomination over to him. As seen in Wyoming, where a caucus process rewarded the Illinois senator 7 delegates, Obama is counting on wins in the states the Democratic nominee will not contest in the fall. States like Wyoming have not voted for a democrat since 1964, so begs the question: is this a winning strategy for the fall?

To answer this question, we need to look into the strategies downside. Obama's loss's in Texas, Ohio, California, New York, New Jersey, and Massachusetts is cause for worry in a party that is more than eager to win the White House. Obama's ability to only win among affluent, educated white voters in small Democratic enclaves, and running up the score with African Americans in the Republican South exaggerates his strength in states that will not vote Democratic. In other words, Boise, Idaho and Salt Lake City fail to represent the whole of America as Obama would like us to believe.

Assuming Barack Obama becomes the Democratic Presidential Nominee, he will lose to McCain. No Democrat can become president with out winning over working-class whites and Hispanics. We can look to Ohio and Pennsylvania and see that Obama has a real problem winning over those two demographics. John McCain will have no problem picking up the working class democrats who were once Reagan democrats.