Barack Obama and the 2008 Election

By BlowHard, published Mar 20, 2008
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Now is the time to make some tough decisions. This is where the rubber meets the road and Barack Obama has, in my opinion, one chance and only one chance to salvage his political future if he aspires to the Presidency. Obama needs to withdraw from the race and re-group. This will serve him in good stead in a plethora of ways.

Somewhere between Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Tony Rezko and Black Liberation Theology, Barack Obama's aspirations for the White House were swamped. Popular opinion polls and political tracking polls show Senator Obama dropping like a rock to the bottom of a pond. What to do?

I'm pretty certain Senator Obama and his supporters are all for continuing on, and I can't blame them, but this is the point where political futures merge with political desires and I don't see any way short of withdrawing from the campaign for the Senator to have any chance to salvage his career if he wants to reach the Presidency someday.

As long as he remains in this Primary fight the controversies will continue to dog him. These issues are not a passing blurb in the 24/7 news cycle. They are issues of the utmost importance; they will frame this race from this point to the end, and they will define Obama as long as he remains in the public eye at this time. And time is the only thing on Senator Obama's side - it's a detriment at this point, as there is not enough of it to shake these issues, but time is to his advantage if he has patience.

Senator Obama is 46 years old. If he were to withdraw from this race, he has to only wait four years to try again, and he would only be 50 years old, and trust me, that's young, especially for the Presidency. And in those waning four years the senator will benefit in many ways.

He will acquire four years more experience. He will have a leg up on any other Democrat that wants to run for the 2012 nomination, unless Hillary wins the 2008 election, and if that's the case he could either wait 'til 2016, or he could challenge her if she wins in '08 and runs for re-election in 2012. Either way he is the front runner and heir apparent for the next opening in the Democrat Party.

 
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Showing Comments 1 - 11 of 11
 
 
Interesting article. I have to agree with the line about obama being a politician. Though, I don't share your position concerning Obama's chances if he drops out now.

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Posted on 04/23/2008 at 9:04:19 PM

 
Chester, I do hope you know and can see the two quotes of mine, especially placed in the order you placed them make 100% perfect sense, and as such make a very nice logic trail. How is it you do not see that? Maybe some other commentators will come along and they can offer their opinions on your point. I would love to know if, in the opinions of other contributors, my statements make perfectly rational and logical sense, or will they agree with you, that the two quotes you chose were not representative or fact and reality, and nonsensical? Maybe some folks will be so kind as to weigh in.

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Posted on 03/27/2008 at 7:03:45 PM

 
So you mean to tell me that you are going to split hairs and try to pretend there is some material diff. between the two statements I made? This ain't a courtroom, therefore, as this is an opinion forum, my words do not have to be an exact quote each time, right counselor? How's this for familiar to ya: taking the quotes in the order you offered, because of the first, ipso facto the second. I did not say the polls were the be all and end all, so I understand that come election time those numbers will not stand up. So you think Obama wins - fine! I think differently. Any real surprise here? And why the following: "(since quoting old, white men seems to be the order of the day)?" I guess this is humor? It wasn't enuff to imply by my moniker that my opinion is so much hot air, but I'm old now too? And I thought we were friends - there I go thinkin' again.

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Posted on 03/27/2008 at 7:03:31 PM

 
I agree 100% Clark. I never believed he would do this; I only advocated that his chances are over for the 2008 election and if he was really concerned about the nation, or his political future, he would see that the Rev. controversy is a no go. I've heard polls that say 40% of Dems now question his judgment and are no longer positively disposed toward him. I maintain that he is driven by blind ambition and won't quit the race, although he'd be a lock for the next time around if he did. Alas, his ambition is overloading his good judgment.

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Posted on 03/24/2008 at 7:03:39 PM

 
I am convinced that Obama staying in the race is the best thing that has happened for McCain.

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Posted on 03/24/2008 at 3:03:08 PM

 
Unless the Illinois GOP runs someone in the mold of a Mark Kirk-Google the name if you want to know Obama can be Senator from Illinois for the rest of his life either way and that ain't a bad gig with the benefits and all.

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Posted on 03/24/2008 at 12:03:50 PM

 
Linda, your "but how do you put an old head of wisdom on the young head of idealism?" question is one for the ages. Churchill said "If you're a Conservative at 20, you have no soul; if you're a Liberal at 40 you have no brains." That's why the Lefties keep touting the age demographic of the Obama supporters. Their only hope is the naive, and even they are questioning Obama now, but his supporters will hold fast to their certain position that Obama will win the nomination and then the presidency. We shall see. Before all this, maybe so; but now, I don't see it happening. But the mainstream media is doing their best to cover Obama's ass and he's still sinking like a rock in the polls. When all is said and done and push comes to shove, I'm betting the American electorate is more mature and less petulant than some would like you to believe.

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Posted on 03/21/2008 at 7:03:12 AM

 
Fair enuff Jeff. BTW, I do not actually believe he will drop out, I just posited that if he continues in this manner, he's sunk. I was merely doing a little prognostication. Polls as of this morning show a huge continuing trend and it's all down for Obama. If he persists not only will he not win in November, but at this time even 40% of Dems polled say they are less likely to vote for him after these controversies. I don't make the news, I merely report it, and the news today is Obama's viability as a presidential candidate is going the way of the Dodo, and it's his doing. And how about that "Change we can believe in" motto? Change? Naw, we've seen this same type stuff before. BTW, the poll I referenced was a Rasmussen poll, not a FOX poll, so maybe it's accurate. Change my ass; he's just another professional politico.

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Posted on 03/21/2008 at 6:03:58 AM

 
It only gets worse for Obama he's signed his own political death warrant. I don't know if he can now ever repair his image, people have long memories! His Preacher friend defies belief and just shows that Obama judgment is sorely in question. It is only the very young and naive who might vote for him now? Oh but how do you put an old head of wisdom on the young head of idealism?

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Posted on 03/21/2008 at 5:03:02 AM

 
While his "dropping out" would be better than a wet dream for conservative pundits, it is so far from the realm of reality or possibility that it doesn't warrant any merit. I'll wager with ya...I say "President Obama" you say he's done, at least for this time....

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Posted on 03/20/2008 at 8:03:52 PM

 
I appreciate your position Chester. My feeling is that it only gets worse for Obama. As of earlier this evening I heard some new numbers that 40% of independents said the Preacher flap has negatively effected their opinion of Obama. He has positioned himself as the "Judgment to Lead" (as I saw on a placard on a podium Obama was speaking at yesterday or the day before) candidate, and the Preacher flap has clearly demonstrated his judgment is in question. Mark my words - it's going to get worse from here. My point was that if Obama quits now this all goes away and he has 4 years to repair his judgment and for the electorate to forget. If he gets beat in '08 his political career is over, at least as far as the White House. If he persists in this exceptionally negatively charged environment he's signing his own political death warrant. Watch and see!

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Posted on 03/20/2008 at 7:03:59 PM

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