McCain's Proposed Federal Gasoline Tax Holiday is Bad Public Policy

Republican Presidential candidate John McCain this week proposed a Federal gasoline tax holiday to boost the economy. In a press release announcing this and other proposals, McCain pledged to call upon Congress to suspend the
McCain's Proposed Federal Gasoline Tax Holiday is Bad Public Policy
Date: December 31, 1969
 18.4 cent per gallon Federal gasoline tax and the 24.4 cent per gallon diesel tax from Memorial Day to Labor Day this summer. The stated rationale for his proposal is to ease the pain of high gas prices, helping American consumers to cope with higher living costs.

Is McCain's proposed Federal gas tax holiday a sensible plan for the United States Congress to adopt? The best evidence seems to suggest that the answer is no, McCain's proposed Federal gas tax holiday is bad public policy.

Will a Federal Gasoline Tax Holiday Result in Lower Prices at the Pump?

The McCain Federal gasoline tax holiday proposal implicitly assumes that the temporary suspension of the Federal gasoline tax will result in lower prices at the pump. This is not necessarily the case. With gasoline prices moving ever upward, any temporary suspension of the Federal gasoline tax may well be offset by rising gasoline prices. With no price controls limiting the prices oil companies charge consumers, oil companies may well take advantage of a suspension of the Federal gasoline tax to increase pump prices more than they would otherwise; thus, it may be big oil companies and not consumers who would most benefit from McCain's Federal gasoline tax holiday.

Is a Federal Gasoline Tax Holiday Necessary to Curb the Pain of High Gasoline Prices?

The pain of high gasoline prices in the United States is linked to overconsumption of gasoline. To curb that pain, Americans need only to reduce their reliance on private automobile use. An amazing 25% of all automobile trips in the United States are less than 1 mile, while 40% are two miles or less. Americans already have the tools they need to reduce the pain of high gasoline costs- walking and using public transportation for short distance trips.

 
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Since the problem is inflation of the money supply via borrowing currency into circulation, the dislocations in the economy will continue no matter what happens in the oil industry.. Higher gas prices mean higher prices at the grocery store now, but if gas were not high priced the inflated money supply would be shifted to the next most valuable commodity and the grocery prices would continue to escalate. Then since U.S. dollars have been the worlds reserve currency since the 1940s, there is a nearly unlimited number of dollars being held by the central banks all over the world... if the global dollar dump continues soon the dollar will be worth nothing and no one in the U.S. will be able to buy anything.

Posted on 07/08/2008 at 9:07:17 AM

Great article. Suspending the gas tax is a bad move, but even if it *did* work, it's just a band-aid on a mortal wound to the nation's economy. We need real, permanent change.

Posted on 05/17/2008 at 8:05:49 AM

Federal Gas Tax Holiday IS bad policy, but unfortunately it IS good politics. Most people don't think it through like you do in your article. It's basic economics, increase demand without increasing supply leads to higher prices. As you mentioned as well, most likely ANY relief would be used by the oil companies to increase their profits. Already, I've seen articles claiming that, in some instances, refineries are actually loosing money because they can't raise gas prices as 'high as they should be'. How they explain their billion dollar profits are beyond me.

Posted on 05/08/2008 at 3:05:10 PM

Good article, Carol. Lower demand is the answer. But does anyone have an idea how to lower demand? If I were President, I'd give tax breaks to people driving economical vehicles. I'd raise speeding tickets enormously. I'd outlaw those useless keyless car starters, and I'd look into alternative energy sources. Every little bit helps.

Posted on 04/30/2008 at 11:04:38 AM

Good article. Sadly, in Texas there is no viable public transportation system, especial in Dallas/Fort Worth.

Posted on 04/25/2008 at 3:04:48 AM

You are right! A federal gas holiday will just shift the saved money from the Feds' pockets to the oil companies' pockets. McCain is pretty naive if he thinks the saved gas money will go into the consumers' pockets. If McCain really wants to help the American people using federal tax dollars, he should send out another $400 check to everyone in September.

Posted on 04/24/2008 at 7:04:50 AM

Very good write.

Posted on 04/24/2008 at 12:04:58 AM

The real problem around here is that there is no real public transportation system. It only goes certain places which doesn't work for people who have a need to get around the entire Virginia Peninsula. Therefore, we rely on our cars because we have too. I don't like it! We only have one car in our family so we aren't using any more gas than we have to but we do have to go to the store, doctor's appointments, work, etc. Until a public transportation system allows us to get there from here, we are locked in to using our car.

Posted on 04/23/2008 at 2:04:28 PM

You are on top of things with this articulate piece! I believe that simple conservation is more key then anything else. Carpools, smaller economical vehicle use, bicycles, motorcycles, and scooters would greatly help out more then a temporary tax break.

Posted on 04/23/2008 at 7:04:42 AM

Well done article. I agree that a tax "holiday" will simply not reduce prices a the pump.

Posted on 04/22/2008 at 1:04:26 PM

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